Jerusalem – Analysis: Stage Three Looms Of Operation Protective Edge

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    A Palestinian reacts following what witnesses said was an Israeli air strike on a building in Gaza City July 24, 2014.  ReutesJerusalem – From the moment it was launched, Operation Protective Edge has been a gradual effort, designed to extinguish Palestinian mass rocket attacks through a carefully planned deterioration of Hamas’s strategic position.

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    The first phase – intensive air strikes on rocket launchers, weapons-production centers and command-and-control centers – was followed by the second stage, the entry of ground forces and their highly complex and challenging task of destroying Hamas’s tunnel network.

    Hamas has had opportunities before each stage to opt for a truce and signal to Israel that it is serious about enforcing a calm border. In other words, Hamas has been given multiple chances to tell Israel that it has been deterred and seeks a cease-fire.

    But Hamas’s leadership structure – Khaled Mashaal in Qatar and Ismail Haniyeh (head of the political wing) and Muhammad Deif (commander of the military wing) in Gaza have taken the decision to continue to confront Israel.

    By doing so, the leaders are inviting Israel to launch the third phase of the offensive, and to lose any control of when Israel ceases its large-scale military offensive against Hamas and Islamic Jihad. Hamas has lost more than half of its rocket arsenal through Israeli air strikes and depletion from its own use. Should Israel launch its third phase, deterrence will become a secondary goal, and the IDF will be instructed to attack and destroy Hamas’s military assets all over Gaza.

    Although the targets of such a phase are unknown, it would not be unreasonable to assume they would include Hamas’s senior military leadership structure, the remainder of its weapons factories and rocket stockpiles, regime buildings, Hamas posts, and large swaths of its territorial divisions and battalions.

    That would necessitate a deeper presence of ground forces inside Gaza, and a further, controlled escalation of the conflict.

    Hamas could hope to stay on its feet and be able to fire rockets until the last day of the war, thereby claiming a hollow “victory.” But that assumption ignores the very real possibility that Hamas’s military wing may be dismembered by the end of the conflict.


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    9 Comments
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    DRSLZ
    DRSLZ
    9 years ago

    Ha’le’vai — this is a war Israel must win… Hamas must be destroyed, even if this displeases BHO

    Moone
    Moone
    9 years ago

    Hopefully

    stamm
    stamm
    9 years ago

    May Hashem return you all safely to base!!!Hatzlocho and thanks so much to all of you!!

    TexasJew
    TexasJew
    9 years ago

    Do what you need to do quickly and safely. Just get it over with soon because we all want to celebrate with you in Yerushalayim.

    Wise-Guy
    Wise-Guy
    9 years ago

    I would feel a lot more “comfortable” with this plan if it weren’t “The 3 weeks” now.
    Or more scary, “The 9 days”….

    The last Lebanese war was also around these dangerous weeks. (And that didn’t go so well…)
    Things often seem to heat up during this period.

    Maybe it’s indeed because of Klal-Yisroel’s weaker “Mazel” during this period of mourning.
    Or maybe it’s because it’s “Bein-Ha’zmanim” for many Yeshivos, therefore there’s less Torah learning going on.
    (Based on my 2nd theory I must mention “Thank G-D for the Chassidish Yeshivos that don’t have Bein-Ha’zmanim in the month of Av….”

    BarryLS1
    BarryLS1
    9 years ago

    Stop talking, just do it!

    PaulinSaudi
    PaulinSaudi
    9 years ago

    You will notice the government is calling this Stage Three, but will not say how many stages there will be. It is almost as if they have no plan.

    Deveee
    Deveee
    9 years ago

    Hashem Yaazor!

    Azoiy
    Azoiy
    9 years ago

    Yes it is the 3 weeks and going into the 9 days – however Kla Yisroel is learning now Megillah in the Daf Yomi assuring that it will turn into “y’mei simcha u’mishta” quickly. We should increase the amount and intensity of our learning and tefilloh – that will iy”H help us to be zoche to the real simch b’korov and all the soldiers will iy”H return in peace. Amen