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Washington - President Donald Trump? New Presidential Poll Says It May Be Possible

Published on: July 9, 2015 03:25 PM
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FILE - Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump gestures after speaking and taking questions at a rally in Manchester, New Hampshire, June 17, 2015.  REUTERS/Dominick Reuter FILE - Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump gestures after speaking and taking questions at a rally in Manchester, New Hampshire, June 17, 2015.  REUTERS/Dominick Reuter

Washington - A new Reuters/Ipsos national presidential poll (http://bit.ly/1RmyVEd) out today has taken both pollsters and prospective voters by surprise.

Billionaire Donald Trump, long considered a long shot candidate for the Office of the President, is in a statistical dead-heat with Republican front-runner Jeb Bush. The news comes as a particular shock as Trump continues to deal with the fallout from his offensive remarks about Mexican-Americans and other groups.

According to the poll, Bush is in first place with 27.8 percent, followed closely by Trump at 23.1 percent, and Florida Senator Marco Rubio bringing up the rear at 18.1 percent.  A total of 1,319 Americans over the age of 18 were surveyed, with the breakdown of 551 Democrats, 453 Republicans, and 176 Independents. Among likely Republican voters, the margin of error is approximately 5.2 percent, with 4.8 percent for Democrats, and 8.4 percent for Independents.

As for the Democratic presidential candidates, Hillary Clinton has maintained her lead of 43.9 percent over Vermont Senator Bernie Sander’s 21.3 percent. Sanders’ campaign has struggled to gain additional ground in the past week.

The poll also asked voters about current President Barack Obama, whose approval rating jumped slightly to 45%, with a total of 49% of voters disapproving of the job Obama is doing.


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Read Comments (18)  —  Post Yours »

1

 Jul 09, 2015 at 05:13 PM Insider Says:

Great. Super. When his daughter Ivanka visits him in the White House, glatt kosher cholent will be served with kigel and gefilte fish !!!!

2

 Jul 09, 2015 at 05:34 PM Howard Says:

Why does the media always play up these early polls that are based purely on name recognition? Anyone who knows politics knows this has always been the case since most Americans pay almost no attention to politics and don't even start to really focus on a presidential campaign until the party conventions three months before the election. The fascination among some conservatives with Trump will begin to evaporate once it becomes more wifely known that Trump was a registered Democrat until relatively recently; that most of his political contributions have gone to Democrats including Harry Reid and Hillary Clinton; and that a few years ago he endorsed a single-payer national healthcare program far more radical than Obamacare. These are facts. And once those facts become more widely known, and once the media begin exposing all his business failures and how he was kept afloat by the big banks who had too much invested in him to let him fail, his support will drop faster than you can say "you're fired!"

3

 Jul 09, 2015 at 05:51 PM mewhoze Says:

I would vote for him

4

 Jul 09, 2015 at 06:19 PM hashomer Says:

Every day this bigot stays in the race he cripples the GOP. You wonder why Hispanics vote 90% Dem?

5

 Jul 09, 2015 at 06:20 PM The_Truth Says:

Reply to #2  
Howard Says:

Why does the media always play up these early polls that are based purely on name recognition? Anyone who knows politics knows this has always been the case since most Americans pay almost no attention to politics and don't even start to really focus on a presidential campaign until the party conventions three months before the election. The fascination among some conservatives with Trump will begin to evaporate once it becomes more wifely known that Trump was a registered Democrat until relatively recently; that most of his political contributions have gone to Democrats including Harry Reid and Hillary Clinton; and that a few years ago he endorsed a single-payer national healthcare program far more radical than Obamacare. These are facts. And once those facts become more widely known, and once the media begin exposing all his business failures and how he was kept afloat by the big banks who had too much invested in him to let him fail, his support will drop faster than you can say "you're fired!"

The FACT that he did all these things - and then changed direction, actually shows that he has a head and thinks. He didn't just inherit a lot of money, he made it. Yes not all business deals go well, but he lost it all, got back up and tried again. You cant deny he has been very successful.

Sadly, many peoples choices are largely influenced to the media, so the more the media push their position, the more the general populaces opinion will be formed.

However, the fact that they asked less than 0.001% of the voters (of which less than half actually vote) means that the poll is pretty much totally unrepresentative of anything.

6

 Jul 09, 2015 at 06:45 PM I am howard Says:

Reb howard
Assuming your fact are indeed correct, which I doubt even you know, BFD!!! So he was a democrat, and his support to his then- party shows a Willingness to put his money where his mouth is. And his comeback????? Bigger and better than any you've ever seen in any type of arena. Probably will garner a lot of votes from folks who appreciate someone with a pair of kneidlach.

7

 Jul 09, 2015 at 07:16 PM mr613 Says:

Reply to #2  
Howard Says:

Why does the media always play up these early polls that are based purely on name recognition? Anyone who knows politics knows this has always been the case since most Americans pay almost no attention to politics and don't even start to really focus on a presidential campaign until the party conventions three months before the election. The fascination among some conservatives with Trump will begin to evaporate once it becomes more wifely known that Trump was a registered Democrat until relatively recently; that most of his political contributions have gone to Democrats including Harry Reid and Hillary Clinton; and that a few years ago he endorsed a single-payer national healthcare program far more radical than Obamacare. These are facts. And once those facts become more widely known, and once the media begin exposing all his business failures and how he was kept afloat by the big banks who had too much invested in him to let him fail, his support will drop faster than you can say "you're fired!"

Hmmmmm Howard are you a Democrat by any chance?
I think the democrats are scared to death of Trump because they know he can and will call Hillary out for all her lies etc.....and I pity the journalist or commentator that reports something knowingly false about him! Trump has enough cash to file slander lawsuits from today till the end of the campaign!
Americans are hungry for a leader a man who is not afraid to say it like it is!
I'd love to see Hillary and trump go at it!

8

 Jul 09, 2015 at 07:20 PM ayoyo Says:

The Donald would be a refreshing change from the political hacks and lobbyists that have controlled this country for decades We have become like the philippines where 2 families control all of the govt. just changing from time to time to give a show of being a democracy

9

 Jul 09, 2015 at 08:05 PM Anonymous Says:

To #2-Howard-You mean to tell me that you never once in your life borrowed money from a bank? Businesses borrowing money from a bank is a fact of life. The Federal Government, does it every day of the week, via the Federal Reserve System. Trump borrowing money from a bank to keep his businesses afloat (which he incidentally paid back), is not a disqualifier for high office. Case closed!

10

 Jul 09, 2015 at 08:33 PM Anonymous Says:

Viva Trump!

11

 Jul 09, 2015 at 09:00 PM Anonymous Says:

Reply to #2  
Howard Says:

Why does the media always play up these early polls that are based purely on name recognition? Anyone who knows politics knows this has always been the case since most Americans pay almost no attention to politics and don't even start to really focus on a presidential campaign until the party conventions three months before the election. The fascination among some conservatives with Trump will begin to evaporate once it becomes more wifely known that Trump was a registered Democrat until relatively recently; that most of his political contributions have gone to Democrats including Harry Reid and Hillary Clinton; and that a few years ago he endorsed a single-payer national healthcare program far more radical than Obamacare. These are facts. And once those facts become more widely known, and once the media begin exposing all his business failures and how he was kept afloat by the big banks who had too much invested in him to let him fail, his support will drop faster than you can say "you're fired!"

You answered your own question. The media wouldn't exist if people didn't read/watch it. The last thing they want is a front-runner candidate who is almost assured of winning (which we have in Hillary Clinton, whether you like her or not). Thus, they are going to do whatever it takes to make the race exciting. If that means putting a fool like Trump front-and-center, that's what they'll do.

12

 Jul 09, 2015 at 09:57 PM zoifunny Says:

Normally I wouldn't vote for a lunatic like The Donald, but after having Obama for 8 years I strongly feel that we need a president with the same qualities as Obama to reverse some of the damages Obama has done.

In other words, it takes a right wing Lunatic, Narcissist, and Sociopath like Trump, to clean up after the left wing Narcissist, Sociopath, Obama. I don't think a normal politician like Bush etc. can clean up all the mess Obama has left. the Donald can stick his head in the wall and do what he's gotta do.

13

 Jul 09, 2015 at 10:08 PM Eli Says:

Reply to #7  
mr613 Says:

Hmmmmm Howard are you a Democrat by any chance?
I think the democrats are scared to death of Trump because they know he can and will call Hillary out for all her lies etc.....and I pity the journalist or commentator that reports something knowingly false about him! Trump has enough cash to file slander lawsuits from today till the end of the campaign!
Americans are hungry for a leader a man who is not afraid to say it like it is!
I'd love to see Hillary and trump go at it!

You really are a fool. The Dems are afraid of Trump?! They pray every day that somehow Trump will get the Republican nomination. Smart Republicans like Charles Krauthammer and Peter Wehner and John Podhoretz are scared to death of Trump and the harm he's doing to the Republican image among the very voters the GOP needs to win a general election -- women, young voters, and Hispanics. If you don't understand that, you know nothing about politics. The fact that so many heimishe frum Jews are singing Trump's praises is just one more indication of how our community has become a zombified collection of talk-radio dittoheads.
As to some of the posters above who defend Trump's flip-flopping, it's not like the man was once a Democrat and then came to a sober realization that he preferred a more conservative philosophy. He's actually switched parties several times; he's donated heavily to the Clinton Foundation and to many more liberal Dems than Republicans; he backed Obama in 2008; and on and on. If you're going to support Trump, at least read up on the man's history. He stands for nothing except for whatever he thinks will get him attention at any particular moment.

14

 Jul 09, 2015 at 10:32 PM yaakov doe Says:

Reply to #1  
Insider Says:

Great. Super. When his daughter Ivanka visits him in the White House, glatt kosher cholent will be served with kigel and gefilte fish !!!!

She doesn't look like a cholunt or kigel eating woman. Perhaps the gefilte fish with a fine wine.

15

 Jul 10, 2015 at 06:07 AM Anonymous Says:

Trump you got my vote!!

16

 Jul 10, 2015 at 08:52 AM Trump 2016 Says:

Reply to #13  
Eli Says:

You really are a fool. The Dems are afraid of Trump?! They pray every day that somehow Trump will get the Republican nomination. Smart Republicans like Charles Krauthammer and Peter Wehner and John Podhoretz are scared to death of Trump and the harm he's doing to the Republican image among the very voters the GOP needs to win a general election -- women, young voters, and Hispanics. If you don't understand that, you know nothing about politics. The fact that so many heimishe frum Jews are singing Trump's praises is just one more indication of how our community has become a zombified collection of talk-radio dittoheads.
As to some of the posters above who defend Trump's flip-flopping, it's not like the man was once a Democrat and then came to a sober realization that he preferred a more conservative philosophy. He's actually switched parties several times; he's donated heavily to the Clinton Foundation and to many more liberal Dems than Republicans; he backed Obama in 2008; and on and on. If you're going to support Trump, at least read up on the man's history. He stands for nothing except for whatever he thinks will get him attention at any particular moment.

Come down a moment and think a minute.

All the names you are talking about are republican establishments people, now before you attack me as a crazy Right-wing tea party think a minute.
Romney in 2012 was an establishment candidate McCain in 2008 was an establishment candidate and..... They lost.
Bush in 2000 ran as a real conservative (even after he won he was only a social conservative but he ran as a conservative) and he won.

Its just normal to think that MAYBE we need a conservative.
I searched for years for an answer for the question I raised and there is nun, The only answer is You conservatives Tea Party are crazy.
The facts aren't on your side my friend.
I didn't say that trump is the answer but don't bring me establishment people to tell us what to do.

In my humble opinion the average republicans are voting republican without any thinking, the only people who are voting only when they are satisfied with the candidate are the tea party therefore when you have a moderate candidate they don't show up and you loose the election.

17

 Jul 10, 2015 at 10:17 AM Eli Says:

Reply to #16  
Trump 2016 Says:

Come down a moment and think a minute.

All the names you are talking about are republican establishments people, now before you attack me as a crazy Right-wing tea party think a minute.
Romney in 2012 was an establishment candidate McCain in 2008 was an establishment candidate and..... They lost.
Bush in 2000 ran as a real conservative (even after he won he was only a social conservative but he ran as a conservative) and he won.

Its just normal to think that MAYBE we need a conservative.
I searched for years for an answer for the question I raised and there is nun, The only answer is You conservatives Tea Party are crazy.
The facts aren't on your side my friend.
I didn't say that trump is the answer but don't bring me establishment people to tell us what to do.

In my humble opinion the average republicans are voting republican without any thinking, the only people who are voting only when they are satisfied with the candidate are the tea party therefore when you have a moderate candidate they don't show up and you loose the election.

But don't you understand that Trump is no conservative? He's given lots of money over the years to Hillary Clinton, Harry Reid, Ted Kennedy, John Kerry, Charles Rangel, Rahm Emmanuel, Joe Biden and dozens of others. His generosity to Republicans hasn't come close. He supported universal health care until a few years ago; he backed Obama in 2008; he said several weeks ago that he'd love to have Oprah Winfrey as his vice president -- how can any thinking conservative take this man seriously???

18

 Jul 10, 2015 at 11:19 AM savtat Says:

I think Oprah would be a great president. Maybe he can fund her???? Just kidding. I think smart mainstream people are not running to be president. Perhaps someone narcissistic and attention seeking would do a great job? Oh, that's Trump. We need to rethink this carefully.

19

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