New York – Quinn, Thompson, Weiner Tied In New York City Primary, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds

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    FILE -  Anthony Weiner speaks as Christine Quinn and William Thompson look on during the 2013 Mayoral Forum Power Breakfast at Terrace on the Park in Flushing, Queens. on June 7 2013. (Photo courtesy to VINnews.com - CHRISTIE M FARRIELLA/FOR NEW YORK DAILY NEWS)New York – Former City Comptroller William Thompson moves up as City Council Speaker Christine Quinn slumps to create a three-way tie for the Democratic primary for New York City mayor, with Quinn at 19 percent, former U.S. Rep. Anthony Weiner at 17 percent and Thompson at 16 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

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    This compares to the results of a May 22 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN- uh-pe-ack) University showing Speaker Quinn at 25 percent, with 15 percent for Weiner and Thompson at 10 percent. Today, Public Advocate Bill de Blasio gets 10 percent, with 7 percent for City Comptroller John Liu, little changed from last month.

    “Former Comptroller William Thompson’s spurt – no doubt spurred in part by his endorsement last week by the United Federation of Teachers – is the big news in this new poll. The other news is Council Speaker Christine Quinn’s slide and that’s more puzzling,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “A few polls ago, she was edging close to the magic 40 percent. Now she’s down with the guys.

    “The demographic numbers are potentially good for Thompson, somewhat puzzling for Anthony Weiner. The only black candidate, Thompson has comparatively low recognition among black voters. Presumably his support will rise as his recognition rises. Weiner, meanwhile, does almost as well among women as Quinn.”

    Democratic candidates win four-way general election matchups against former Metropolitan Transportation Authority Chair Joseph Lhota as a Republican, and Police Commissioner Ray Kelly and former Bronx Borough President Adolfo Carrion as independents:

    Quinn with 38 percent, to Kelly’s 25 percent, Lhota’s 8 percent and Carrion’s 5 percent;

    Thompson at 38 percent, to Kelly’s 25 percent, Lhota’s 8 percent and Carrion’s 4 percent;

    Weiner gets 36 percent, to Kelly’s 27 percent, Lhota’s 10 percent and Carrion’s 4 percent;

    de Blasio with 35 percent, to Kelly’s 27 percent, Lhota’s 9 percent and Carrion’s 3 percent.

    In each of these matchups, Republicans back Lhota over Kelly by margins of 1 to 12 percentage points. Independent voters back Kelly over Lhota by margins of 24 to 28 percent.

    “In a November match-up, former MTA Chair Joseph Lhota barely gets out of single digits. Police Commissioner Ray Kelly trails the Democrats but he holds onto a respectable 25 percent,” Carroll said. “While unlikely, he could make this an interesting race. Former Bronx Borough President Adolfo Carrion better find some magic to get into the race.”

    All New York City voters are divided 45 – 43 percent on whether Weiner should run for mayor, with women at 42 – 44 percent and men at 49 – 41 percent.

    Voters approve 50 – 34 percent of the job Quinn is doing, down from an all-time high 65 – 18 percent approval rating in a November 21 Quinnipiac University poll. Voters give her a 41 – 36 percent favorability rating.

    de Blasio gets a 45 – 20 percent approval rating, little-changed from earlier surveys, and a 34 – 18 percent favorability rating, with 46 percent who don’t know enough about him to form an opinion.

    Kelly gets a 68 – 24 percent approval rating and a 52 – 21 percent favorability rating.

    Thompson gets a 37 – 14 percent favorability rating, with 48 percent who don’t know enough about him.

    Weiner gets a negative 37 – 43 percent favorability with a greater negative among men, 37 – 45 percent, than among women, 37 – 40 percent.

    The “don’t know enough” for Republican contenders Lhota, businessman John Catsimatidis and Doe Fund founder George McDonald, and for independent contender Carrion, range from 65 percent to 90 percent.

    “New Yorkers are turning against Speaker Quinn, as her job approval rating and favorability rating drop,” said Carroll.

    “Weiner is in negative territory and Thompson remains unknown to many voters.”

    From June 19 – 25, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,238 New York City voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey includes 830 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points.


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    Liepa
    Liepa
    10 years ago

    If the best that can be produced as leading mayoral candidates for the great City of New York are these three, then we are in worse shape then originally thought!